Commodity Market Knowledge : Silver - Mcx India

Silver

Introduction
Silver (Chemical symbol-Ag) is a brilliant grey-white metal that is soft and malleable.
Silver’s unique properties include its strength, malleability, ductility, electrical and thermal conductivity, sensitivity, high reflectance of light, and reactivity.
The main source of silver is lead ore, although it can also be found associated with copper, zinc and gold and produced as a by-product of base metal mining activities.
Secondary silver sources include coin melt, scrap recovery, and dis-hoarding from countries where export is restricted. Secondary sources are price sensitive.

Demand and Supply
In 2011, the worldwide silver fabrication demand was 876.6 million ounces (Moz)—down by 1.5% from the value in 2010, but still reaching its second highest level since 2000.
Globally, in 2011, the physical silver bar investment grew by 67% to 95.7 Moz, while fabrication of coins and medals rose by almost 19% to an all-time high of 118.2 Moz.
In 2011, silverware offtake dropped by 10.2% to 46.0 Moz from the previous year, as a result of lower demand in India. Higher prices coupled with ongoing structural decline in the western markets caused a fall in the Indian silverware demand. Part of this fall was offset by some gains in China.
The world silver mine production increased by 1.4% to a new record level of 761.6 Moz in 2011, as compared with the previous year.
In 2011, scrap supply rose by 12% over the previous fiscal to a second straight record of 256.7 Moz, driven by gains in jewellery and silverware recycling on higher prices.
Government sales fell by a massive 74 per cent to a 14-year low of 11.5 Moz in 2011.The drastic decline was entirely due to a collapse in sales from Russia, where disposals dropped by nearly 90%.
Notable production losses were observed in Australia, Peru, the United States and Turkey in 2011, amounting to 20.3 Moz.

Global Scenario
Silver is predominantly traded on the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) and COMEX in New York.
LBMA, the global hub of over-the-counter (OTC) trading in silver, is the metal’s main physical market. Comex is a futures and options exchange, where most funds’ activities are focused.
Silver is invariably quoted in US Dollars per troy ounce.

Indian Scenario
The average annual demand for silver in India is about 2500 Metric tonnes (MT) per year. In 2011, the country’s production was around 342.13 MT.
Nearly 60% of India's silver demand comes from farmers and rural India, who store their savings in the form of silver bangles and coins.

Factors Influencing the Market
Economic events such as India’s industrial growth, the global financial crisis, recession and inflation affect metal prices.
Commodity-specific events such as the construction of new production facilities or processes, unexpected mine or plant closures, or industry restructuring affect the market.
Governments set trade policy (implementation or suspension of taxes, penalties, and quotas) that affect supply by regulating (restricting or encouraging) the material flow.
Geopolitical events involving governments or economic paradigms and armed conflict can cause major changes.
A faster growth in demand against supply often leads to a drop in stocks with the government and investors.
Silver demand is underpinned by the demand from jewellery and silverware, industrial applications, and overall industrial growth.
In India, the real industrial demand occupies a small share in the total industrial demand for silver. This is in sharp contrast to most developed economies.
In India, silver demand is also determined to a large extent by its price level and volatility.

Commodity Market Knowledge : Gold - Mcx India

Gold

Gold is the oldest precious metal known to man and for thousands of years it has been valued as a global currency, a commodity, an investment and simply an object of beauty.

Introduction
Gold (Chemical Symbol-Au) is primarily a monetary asset and partly a commodity.
Gold is the world's oldest international currency.
Gold is an important element of global monetary reserves.
With regard to the investment value, more than two-thirds of gold total accumulated holdings is with central banks' reserves, private players, and held in the form of jewellery.
Less than one-third of gold's total accumulated holdings are used as “commodity” for jewellery in the western markets and industry.

Demand and Supply
World investment amounted to 1614 MT in 2012, broadly flat year-on-year, but the approximate value of this demand reached a new record of almost $87 billion.
Major drivers of this strong investment included further monetary loosening in the developed world, continued sovereign debt crisis, rising longer-term inflation fears and in key markets, negative real interest rates coupled with limited attractive risk-free investment alternatives to gold.
In 2012, the gold mine production increased by 12 MT to 2848 MT and the combined demand for bars & coins dropped from 1515 MT to 1256 MT.

Global Scenario
London is the world’s biggest clearing house.
Mumbai is under India's liberalised gold regime.
New York is the home of gold futures trading.
Zurich is a physical turntable.
Istanbul, Dubai, Singapore, and Hong Kong are doorways to important consuming regions.
Tokyo, where TOCOM sets the mood of Japan.

Indian Scenario
India, world’s largest market for gold jewellery and a key driver of the global gold demand.
The domestic drivers of gold demand are largely independent of outside forces. Indian households hold the largest stock of gold in the world.
Two thirds of the Indian demand for gold comes from the rural parts of the country.
In 2012, gold's role as an inflation hedge bolstered its appeal in India. India imported around 850 metric tonne (MT) of gold in 2012.

Factors Influencing the Market
Above ground supply of gold from central bank's sale, reclaimed scrap, and official gold loans.
Hedging interest of producers/miners.
World macroeconomic factors such as the US Dollar, interest rate and economic events.
Commodity-specific events such as the construction of new production facilities or processes, unexpected mine or plant closures, or industry restructuring.
In India, gold demand is also determined to a large extent by its price level and volatility.

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Short ALUMINIUM (APR) SB 116.0 SL 116.4 Target 115.6 / 115.2
Short COPPER (APR) SB 385.9 SL 387.5 Target 384.9 / 383.4
Short CRUDEOIL (MAY) SB 3602 SL 3654 Target 3684 / 3573
Short GOLD (JUN) SB 27054 SL 27141 Target 27029 / 27009
Short LEAD (APR) SB 132.9 SL 133.3 Target 132.5 / 132.1
Short NATURALGAS (MAY) SB 159.6 SL 160.1 Target 158.8 / 158.1
Short NICKEL (APR) SB 848.8 SL 848.8 Target 842.8 / 836.8
Short SILVER (JUL) SB 37559 SL 37733 Target 37459 / 37339
Short ZINC (APR) SB 145.7 SL 145.7 Target 146.1 / 144.8

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Buy ALUMINIUM (APR) SA 116.5 SL 116.1 Target 116.9 / 117.3
Buy COPPER (APR) SA 388.1 SL 386.3 Target 389.1 / 390.6
Buy CRUDEOIL (MAY) SA 3670 SL 3618 Target 3684 / 3699
Buy GOLD (JUN) SA 27166 SL 27079 Target 27191 / 27211
Buy LEAD (APR) SA 133.4 SL 133.0 Target 133.8 / 134.2
Buy NATURALGAS (MAY) SA 160.0 SL 159.5 Target 160.8 / 161.5
Buy NICKEL (APR) SA 862.2 SL 852.0 Target 868.2 / 874.2
Buy SILVER (JUL) SA 37783 SL 37783 Target 37883 / 38003
Buy ZINC (APR) SA 146.1 SL 145.8 Target 146.6 / 147.0

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Buy ALUMINIUM (APR) SA 116.3 SL 115.9 Target 116.7 / 117.1
 ALUMINIUM (APR) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 116.80 
Short ALUMINIUM (APR) SB 115.8 SL 116.2 Target 115.4 / 115.0

Buy COPPER (APR) SA 387.5 SL 385.7 Target 388.5 / 390.0
 COPPER (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 386.10 
Short COPPER (APR) SB 385.3 SL 386.9 Target 384.3 / 382.8

Buy CRUDEOIL (MAY) SA 3683 SL 3631 Target 3697 / 3712
 CRUDEOIL (MAY) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 3666 
Short CRUDEOIL (MAY) SB 3615 SL 3667 Target 3601 / 3586

Buy GOLD (JUN) SA 26853 SL 26766 Target 26878 / 26898
 GOLD (JUN) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 26717 
Short GOLD (JUN) SB 26741 SL 26828 Target 26716 / 26696

Buy LEAD (APR) SA 132.8 SL 132.4 Target 133.2 / 133.6
 LEAD (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 132.20 
Short LEAD (APR) SB 132.3 SL 132.7 Target 131.9 / 131.5 
` 
Buy NATURALGAS (MAY) SA 160.6 SL 160.1 Target 161.4 / 162.1
 NATURALGAS (MAY) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 161.70 
Short NATURALGAS (MAY) SB 160.2 SL 160.7 Target 159.4 / 158.7

Buy NICKEL (APR) SA 866.9 SL 856.7 Target 872.9 / 878.9
 NICKEL (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 850.70 
Short NICKEL (APR) SB 853.5 SL 863.7 Target 847.5 / 841.5

Buy SILVER (JUL) SA 36698 SL 36524 Target 36798 / 36918
 SILVER (JUL) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 36674 
Short SILVER (JUL) SB 36474 SL 36648 Target 36374 / 36254

Buy ZINC (APR) SA 145.0 SL 144.6 Target 145.4 / 145.8
 ZINC (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 144.20 
Short ZINC (APR) SB 144.5 SL 144.9 Target 144.1 / 143.7

Mcx Silver Tips, 4th session: 27.Apr.2015

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Buy ALUMINIUM (APR) SA 116.9 SL 116.5 Target 117.3 / 117.7
 ALUMINIUM (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 116.20 
Short ALUMINIUM (APR) SB 116.4 SL 116.8 Target 116.0 / 115.6

Buy COPPER (APR) SA 388.5 SL 386.7 Target 389.5 / 391.0
 COPPER (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 385.00 
Short COPPER (APR) SB 386.2 SL 387.9 Target 385.2 / 383.7

Buy CRUDEOIL (MAY) SA 3667 SL 3615 Target 3681 / 3696
 CRUDEOIL (MAY) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 3667 
Short CRUDEOIL (MAY) SB 3599 SL 3651 Target 3585 / 3570

Buy GOLD (JUN) SA 26801 SL 26714 Target 26826 / 26846
 GOLD (JUN) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 26689 
Short GOLD (JUN) SB 26689 SL 26776 Target 26664 / 26644

Buy LEAD (APR) SA 133.0 SL 132.7 Target 133.5 / 133.9
 LEAD (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 132.00 
Short LEAD (APR) SB 132.6 SL 133.0 Target 132.1 / 131.7 
` 
Buy NATURALGAS (MAY) SA 161.7 SL 161.2 Target 162.5 / 163.2
 NATURALGAS (MAY) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 163.40 
Short NATURALGAS (MAY) SB 161.3 SL 161.8 Target 160.5 / 159.8

Buy NICKEL (APR) SA 864.7 SL 854.5 Target 870.7 / 876.7
 NICKEL (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 344.30 
Short NICKEL (APR) SB 851.3 SL 861.5 Target 845.3 / 839.3

Buy SILVER (JUL) SA 36685 SL 36511 Target 36785 / 36905
 SILVER (JUL) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 36477 
Short SILVER (JUL) SB 36461 SL 36635 Target 36361 / 36241

Buy ZINC (APR) SA 145.2 SL 144.8 Target 145.6 / 146.0
 ZINC (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 143.00 
Short ZINC (APR) SB 144.7 SL 145.1 Target 144.3 / 143.9

Lead Calls, 3rd session: 27.Apr.2015

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Buy ALUMINIUM (APR) SA 117.3 SL 117.0 Target 117.8 / 118.2
 ALUMINIUM (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 116.20 
Short ALUMINIUM (APR) SB 116.9 SL 117.3 Target 116.4 / 116.0

Buy COPPER (APR) SA 389.2 SL 387.4 Target 390.2 / 391.7
 COPPER (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 385.00 
Short COPPER (APR) SB 387.0 SL 388.6 Target 386.0 / 384.5

Buy CRUDEOIL (MAY) SA 3693 SL 3641 Target 3707 / 3722
 CRUDEOIL (MAY) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 3667 
Short CRUDEOIL (MAY) SB 3625 SL 3677 Target 3611 / 3596

Buy GOLD (JUN) SA 26836 SL 26749 Target 26861 / 26881
 GOLD (JUN) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 26689 
Short GOLD (JUN) SB 26724 SL 26811 Target 26699 / 26679

Buy LEAD (APR) SA 133.3 SL 132.9 Target 133.7 / 134.1
 LEAD (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 132.00 
Short LEAD (APR) SB 132.8 SL 133.2 Target 132.4 / 132.0 
` 
Buy NATURALGAS (MAY) SA 162.9 SL 162.4 Target 163.7 / 164.4
 NATURALGAS (MAY) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 163.40 
Short NATURALGAS (MAY) SB 162.5 SL 163.0 Target 161.7 / 161.0

Buy NICKEL (APR) SA 860.2 SL 850.0 Target 866.2 / 872.2
 NICKEL (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 344.30 
Short NICKEL (APR) SB 846.8 SL 857.0 Target 840.8 / 834.8

Buy SILVER (JUL) SA 36738 SL 36564 Target 36838 / 36958
 SILVER (JUL) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 36477 
Short SILVER (JUL) SB 36514 SL 36688 Target 36414 / 36294

Buy ZINC (APR) SA 145.3 SL 144.9 Target 145.7 / 146.1
 ZINC (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 143.00 
Short ZINC (APR) SB 144.8 SL 145.2 Target 144.4 / 144.0

Silver Tips, 2nd session: 27.Apr.2015

FREE MCX COMMODITY SESSION TIPS AND TREND UPDATION 
( Paper Trading Practice for Commodity Segment ) 

Buy ALUMINIUM (APR) SA 117.0 SL 116.7 Target 117.5 / 117.9
 ALUMINIUM (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 116.20 
Short ALUMINIUM (APR) SB 116.6 SL 117.0 Target 116.1 / 115.7

Buy COPPER (APR) SA 387.8 SL 386.0 Target 388.8 / 390.3
 COPPER (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 385.00 
Short COPPER (APR) SB 385.6 SL 387.2 Target 384.6 / 383.1

Buy CRUDEOIL (MAY) SA 3677 SL 3625 Target 3691 / 3706
 CRUDEOIL (MAY) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 3667 
Short CRUDEOIL (MAY) SB 3609 SL 3661 Target 3595 / 3580

Buy GOLD (JUN) SA 26793 SL 26706 Target 26818 / 26838
 GOLD (JUN) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 26689 
Short GOLD (JUN) SB 26681 SL 26768 Target 26656 / 26636

Buy LEAD (APR) SA 132.8 SL 132.5 Target 133.3 / 133.7
 LEAD (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 132.00 
Short LEAD (APR) SB 132.4 SL 132.8 Target 131.9 / 131.5 
` 
Buy NATURALGAS (MAY) SA 162.1 SL 161.6 Target 162.9 / 163.6
 NATURALGAS (MAY) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 163.40 
Short NATURALGAS (MAY) SB 161.7 SL 162.2 Target 160.9 / 160.2

Buy NICKEL (APR) SA 859.4 SL 849.2 Target 865.4 / 871.4
 NICKEL (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 344.30 
Short NICKEL (APR) SB 846.0 SL 856.2 Target 840.0 / 834.0

Buy SILVER (JUL) SA 36704 SL 36530 Target 36804 / 36924
 SILVER (JUL) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 36477 
Short SILVER (JUL) SB 36480 SL 36654 Target 36380 / 36260

Buy ZINC (APR) SA 144.0 SL 143.7 Target 144.5 / 144.9
 ZINC (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 143.00 
Short ZINC (APR) SB 143.6 SL 144.0 Target 143.1 / 142.7

Hot Lead Tips, 1st session: 27.Apr.2015

FREE MCX COMMODITY SESSION TIPS AND TREND UPDATION 
( Paper Trading Practice for Commodity Segment ) 

Buy ALUMINIUM (APR) SA 116.8 SL 116.5 Target 117.3 / 117.7
 ALUMINIUM (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 115.80 
Short ALUMINIUM (APR) SB 116.4 SL 116.8 Target 115.9 / 115.5

Buy COPPER (APR) SA 388.2 SL 386.4 Target 389.2 / 390.7
 COPPER (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 384.40 
Short COPPER (APR) SB 385.9 SL 387.6 Target 384.9 / 383.4

Buy CRUDEOIL (MAY) SA 3672 SL 3620 Target 3686 / 3701
 CRUDEOIL (MAY) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 3690 
Short CRUDEOIL (MAY) SB 3604 SL 3656 Target 3590 / 3575

Buy GOLD (JUN) SA 26822 SL 26735 Target 26847 / 26867
 GOLD (JUN) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 26768 
Short GOLD (JUN) SB 26710 SL 26797 Target 26685 / 26665

Buy LEAD (APR) SA 132.7 SL 132.3 Target 133.1 / 133.5
 LEAD (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 131.40 
Short LEAD (APR) SB 132.2 SL 132.6 Target 131.8 / 131.4 

Buy NATURALGAS (MAY) SA 161.8 SL 161.3 Target 162.6 / 163.3
 NATURALGAS (MAY) : INTRADAY TREND DOWN SL : 164.30 
Short NATURALGAS (MAY) SB 161.4 SL 161.9 Target 160.6 / 159.9

Buy NICKEL (APR) SA 857.3 SL 847.1 Target 863.3 / 869.3
 NICKEL (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 841.30 
Short NICKEL (APR) SB 843.9 SL 854.1 Target 837.9 / 831.9

Buy SILVER (JUL) SA 36692 SL 36518 Target 36792 / 36912
 SILVER (JUL) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 36304 
Short SILVER (JUL) SB 36468 SL 36642 Target 36368 / 36248

Buy ZINC (APR) SA 143.7 SL 143.3 Target 144.1 / 144.5
 ZINC (APR) : INTRADAY TREND UP SL : 142.60 
Short ZINC (APR) SB 143.2 SL 143.6 Target 142.8 / 142.4 

MCX INDIAN COMMODITY INTRADAY SUPPORT RESISTANCE LEVELS: 27.Apr.2015


INDIAN MARKET & SECTORWISE STOCKS OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK - 27.Apr.2015 - 30.Apr.2015

Click The Below Links To Read Reports
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FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week – 27 to 30.04.2015

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Domestic indices are expected to trade with a negative bias next week with concerns over minimum alternate tax, weak rupee and disappointing corporate earnings weighing on sentiment. Investors will watch out for companies detailing their Jan-Mar results, and the expiry of the April futures contract.

ICICI Bank, Bharti Airtel, Maruti Suzuki, Idea Cellular, Ambuja Cements, Housing Development Finance Corp, Sesa Sterlite, Axis Bank, and IDFC are some of the major companies that will detail their earnings next week. UltraTech Cement will detail its Jan-Mar earnings on Saturday.

On the global front, the outcome of the US Federal Open Market Committee's two-day monetary policy meeting on Wednesday will be closely watched for cues on when the central bank plans to start hiking interest rates. Progress on Greece's debt talks will also be watched es Euro area's finance ministers are scheduled to meet in Brussels today to discuss repayment of the country's massive debt.

Indices yerterday closed near their crucial support levels and a breach of those levels could see them falling sharply. We expect our view 8250 points as a crucial support for the National Stock Exchange's Nifty.

Yesterday, the 50-stock Nifty ended at 8305.25 points, down 93.05 points or 1.1% from Thursday after moving between a low of 8273.35 and a high of 8413.30 intraday. The 30-share Sensex closed at 27437.94, down 297.08 points or 1.1%. During the day, the index touched a low of 27344.70 and a high of 27829.11.

Among sectors, banks are seen continuing their declining trend while defensive sector stocks are expected to rise in the coming week. Infosys, which posted a disappointing set of numbers for the quarter ended March today, may see a further fall.